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Red99
198734.8
651725.7
207542.7
Blue106
205653.1
12543.9
30227.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091375010015020099106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#15
42.70.9
42.141.2
Auto14.2
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 10.5
53.11.0
52.051.0
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End4.1
Second
1987
#33
34.80.9
33.632.7
Auto14.2
Teleop17.4
End3.2
blue by 9.2
125
#2
43.91.0
41.740.7
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
Third
6517
#26
25.70.9
26.725.8
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End2.4
blue by 1.7
302
#27
27.41.0
27.326.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned97%Ensemble oddsEarned