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Red115
353830.0
940131.5
402836.8
Blue108
32115.8
590736.1
126140.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10196406080120140115108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#35
36.81.5
34.736.2
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2
blue by 3.4
1261
#18
40.21.3
38.539.8
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Second
9401
#46
31.51.5
29.631.1
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 4.6
5907
#17
36.11.3
35.236.6
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Third
3538
#31
30.01.5
26.528.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End4.1
red by 14.2
321
#43
15.81.3
14.115.4
Auto10.3
Teleop5.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed