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Red162
170649.6
276741.4
12543.9
Blue149
571242.8
460740.7
402836.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713150100200162149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.6
48.449.1
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 6.8
5712
#10
42.80.4
42.743.2
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
Second
125
#2
43.90.6
42.843.4
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
red by 3.3
4607
#12
40.70.4
40.641.1
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Third
2767
#21
41.40.6
40.240.8
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8
red by 4.6
4028
#35
36.80.4
36.837.2
Auto12.8
Teleop19.8
End4.2