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Red117
170649.6
276741.4
12543.9
Blue86
745745.7
173232.3
248144.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491385010020011786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.4
49.148.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 4.0
45.70.9
46.545.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.6
End6.2
Second
125
#2
43.90.4
43.443.0
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
blue by 1.0
44.90.9
45.945.0
Auto12.5
Teleop27.8
End4.5
Third
2767
#21
41.40.4
40.840.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8
red by 9.0
1732
#34
32.30.9
33.432.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.4
End5.9