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Red64
331621.4
555420.9
157733.9
Blue66
598724.8
321122.3
169050.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631022040801201406466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#10
33.90.0
20.820.8
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End3.2
blue by 16.5
50.41.5
49.448.0
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Second
3316
#19
21.40.0
17.517.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 3.4
5987
#11Sur
24.81.5
18.016.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
Third
5554
#41Sur
20.90.0
23.623.6
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 1.4
3211
#35
22.31.5
20.519.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed