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Red40
82238.0
706719.3
459015.6
Blue66
441610.1
598724.8
563519.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46451020304050607080904066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7067
#26
19.30.3
15.415.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
blue by 5.5
5987
#11
24.81.5
16.618.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
Second
4590
#22
15.60.3
19.819.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 3.8
5635
#15
19.41.5
16.117.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
8223
#42
8.00.3
5.95.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 2.1
4416
#40
10.11.5
8.39.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed