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Red85
595137.9
563519.4
459015.6
Blue63
717710.8
321122.3
616820.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77542040601001208563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.2
29.630.8
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
red by 15.5
3211
#35
22.30.8
18.219.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Second
5635
#15
19.41.2
17.618.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 1.1
6168
#34
20.60.8
22.122.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
4590
#22
15.61.2
19.520.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
red by 4.8
7177
#44
10.80.8
11.111.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed