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Red48
459015.6
157610.2
432020.3
Blue75
711211.1
565421.5
157435.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517602040601001204875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#16
20.30.1
18.318.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 15.6
35.90.3
31.231.5
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Second
4590
#22
15.60.1
20.720.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 5.9
5654
#13
21.50.3
20.320.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Third
1576
#27
10.20.1
10.410.3
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 1.0
7112
#38
11.10.3
14.614.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned82%Ensemble oddsMissed