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Red46
307527.0
51359.9
267910.9
Blue85
333939.1
610416.6
331621.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379002060801001201404685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.0
23.223.1
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 12.2
39.10.3
41.842.1
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
Second
2679
#31
10.90.0
10.110.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 10.6
3316
#19
21.40.3
18.318.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
5135
#45
9.90.0
6.46.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 6.6
6104
#29
16.60.3
14.915.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned