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Red73
193726.0
263033.6
157610.2
Blue86
598724.8
595137.9
432020.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74760501001507386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.3
29.730.0
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
blue by 4.3
37.91.2
31.732.9
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
Second
1937
#21
26.00.3
27.027.3
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End0.8
red by 1.2
5987
#11
24.81.2
18.719.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
Third
1576
#27
10.20.3
10.310.6
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 10.1
4320
#16
20.31.2
18.219.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed