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Red63
433821.1
267910.9
306521.5
Blue90
459015.6
169050.4
331621.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481081506390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#33
21.50.8
23.724.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 28.9
50.40.5
51.450.9
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Second
4338
#14
21.10.8
16.617.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.1
blue by 0.3
3316
#19
21.40.5
18.718.1
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
2679
#31
10.90.8
10.110.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 4.8
4590
#22
15.60.5
20.620.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned