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Red61
306521.5
459015.6
571522.2
Blue37
157610.2
308314.8
974017.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83492040601001201406137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#20
22.22.7
25.522.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 4.7
9740
#43
17.41.1
20.819.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Second
3065
#33
21.52.7
25.923.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 6.7
3083
#36
14.81.1
16.715.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Third
4590
#22
15.62.7
19.717.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
red by 5.4
1576
#27
10.21.1
10.69.5
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed