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Red61
51359.9
82238.0
599026.9
Blue68
194221.0
555420.9
703926.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3683020601001206168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#12
26.91.2
22.924.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 0.6
7039
#25
26.30.4
26.325.9
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
5135
#45
9.91.2
8.79.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 11.1
1942
#37
21.00.4
21.220.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Third
8223
#42
8.01.2
6.67.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 12.9
5554
#41
20.90.4
21.821.4
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed