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Red26
43387.9
432015.0
599016.0
Blue59
43197.6
169040.3
93034.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801001201401602659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#13
16.01.7
14.412.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
blue by 24.4
40.31.7
22.524.2
Auto17.0
Teleop19.4
End4.0
Second
15.01.7
10.48.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 7.4
4319
#25
7.61.7
10.111.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
4338
#22
7.91.7
12.911.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2
red by 3.2
9303
#26
4.71.7
10.712.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed