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Red42
333932.7
71776.6
306516.0
Blue32
263015.9
43197.6
432015.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54340204060801001204232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.7
24.824.0
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
red by 16.8
2630
#28
15.90.1
15.915.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Second
3065
#14
16.00.7
12.511.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
red by 1.0
15.00.1
8.58.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
7177
#23
6.60.7
9.38.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 1.0
4319
#25
7.60.1
8.68.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed