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Red29
22308.8
306516.0
97389.6
Blue40
15766.7
43387.9
565420.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060802940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#14
16.00.4
11.811.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
blue by 4.7
5654
#10
20.70.1
14.514.3
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
9738
#24
9.60.4
12.512.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
red by 1.7
4338
#22
7.90.1
7.47.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2
Third
2230
#20
8.80.4
8.58.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 2.0
1576
#27
6.70.1
9.39.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned