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Red68
674016.4
169040.3
15809.9
Blue53
333932.7
706712.7
974012.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584902040801001206853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.2
30.231.5
Auto17.0
Teleop19.4
End4.0
red by 7.7
32.70.4
24.024.4
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
Second
16.41.2
12.213.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
red by 3.7
7067
#18
12.70.4
13.313.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
1580
#19
9.91.2
9.410.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 2.1
9740
#31
12.00.4
8.28.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed