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Red83
169040.3
333932.7
571520.7
Blue77
565420.7
331612.9
157722.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8538020601001201401608377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.1
31.532.5
Auto17.0
Teleop19.4
End4.0
red by 18.3
22.03.5
15.318.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Second
32.71.1
24.425.5
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
red by 11.9
5654
#10
20.73.5
14.317.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Third
20.71.1
15.616.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
red by 7.8
3316
#21
12.93.5
10.514.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned