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Red40
62306.3
263015.9
513510.1
Blue75
595124.0
432015.0
194224.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29540204060801001204075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#28
15.91.5
15.814.2
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 8.2
24.01.5
18.019.6
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
Second
5135
#29
10.11.5
11.810.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
blue by 13.9
24.01.5
19.621.2
Auto10.5
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Third
6230
#15
6.31.5
1.4-0.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 8.7
15.01.5
8.410.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed