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Red30
974012.0
308311.0
15809.9
Blue31
43387.9
674016.4
22308.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280204060801001201401603031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9740
#31
12.00.2
7.98.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 4.4
16.40.5
12.412.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Second
3083
#16
11.00.2
8.89.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.1
red by 2.3
2230
#20
8.80.5
7.07.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
1580
#19
9.90.3
11.011.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
red by 2.0
4338
#22
7.90.5
6.67.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed