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Red60
306516.0
308311.0
565420.7
Blue30
571520.7
93034.7
599016.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4546303540505560656030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#10
20.71.3
19.520.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 0.1
20.71.0
19.518.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
Second
3065
#14
16.01.4
12.213.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
Level
5990
#13
16.01.0
15.814.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Third
3083
#16
11.01.4
9.110.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.1
red by 6.3
9303
#26
4.71.1
6.35.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed