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Red36
97389.6
565420.7
26796.8
Blue51
571520.7
62306.3
22308.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801003651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#10
20.70.4
20.820.3
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 0.1
20.71.4
18.519.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
Second
9738
#24
9.60.4
10.29.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
red by 0.8
2230
#20
8.81.4
7.38.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
2679
#30
6.80.4
5.55.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
red by 0.5
6230
#15
6.31.4
2.94.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed