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Red40
321115.5
513510.1
43387.9
Blue31
673818.5
26796.8
43197.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303702060801004031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#11
15.50.9
14.715.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
6738
#12
18.50.5
19.218.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Second
5135
#29
10.10.9
7.18.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
red by 2.5
4319
#25
7.60.5
8.17.6
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
4338
#22
7.90.9
6.37.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2
red by 1.1
2679
#30
6.80.5
5.14.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed