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Red44
565420.7
263015.9
15809.9
Blue71
674016.4
194224.0
571520.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506302040801001201404471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#10
20.70.2
20.320.2
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 3.3
24.01.0
20.921.9
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
Second
2630
#28
15.90.2
16.216.0
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 4.8
20.71.0
19.920.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
Third
1580
#19
9.90.2
10.19.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 6.5
16.41.0
14.815.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed