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Red50
157722.0
157422.0
81759.3
Blue50
674016.4
565420.7
706712.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63542040801001205050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.1
22.922.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 1.3
5654
#10
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
22.00.1
22.822.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
red by 5.6
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Third
8175
#17
9.30.1
10.210.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 3.3
7067
#18
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0