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Red63
157722.0
157422.0
15766.7
Blue52
321115.5
22308.8
263015.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5942020801001206352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.0
22.622.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 6.1
2630
#28
15.90.1
16.015.9
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Second
22.00.0
22.522.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
red by 6.4
3211
#11
15.50.1
15.615.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
1576
#27
6.70.0
6.56.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 2.0
2230
#20
8.80.1
8.98.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5