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Red40
263015.9
22308.8
321115.5
Blue94
674016.4
565420.7
706712.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435402060801001204094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#28
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 4.8
5654
#10
20.70.5
19.920.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
3211
#11
15.50.0
15.615.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 0.8
16.40.5
15.616.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Third
2230
#20
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 3.9
7067
#18
12.70.5
11.912.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0