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Red62
47444.2
193720.3
555418.6
Blue14
56359.8
44165.6
610411.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801006214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.6
10.810.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
red by 9.2
6104
#13
11.12.6
11.48.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Second
5554
#10
18.60.6
12.612.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
red by 8.8
5635
#20
9.82.6
12.59.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Third
4744
#19
4.20.6
11.811.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 1.4
4416
#23
5.62.6
8.86.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed