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Red46
383512.1
165726.1
82237.7
Blue53
598711.2
459014.1
703921.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39542060804653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.5
18.519.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
red by 4.7
21.41.5
19.918.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
3835
#14
12.10.5
9.09.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 2.0
4590
#22
14.11.5
14.412.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
Third
8223
#24
7.70.5
9.810.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.5
5987
#11
11.21.5
12.510.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed