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Red32
93049.2
610411.1
784517.1
Blue5
19544.5
59284.8
82237.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45210406080100325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#12
17.11.6
19.517.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 9.4
8223
#24
7.72.0
9.97.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Second
6104
#13
11.11.6
10.69.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 6.3
5928
#28
4.82.0
5.03.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Third
9304
#29
9.21.6
7.76.0
Auto5.7
Teleop3.0
End0.5
red by 4.6
1954
#26
4.52.0
7.35.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed