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Red60
458610.0
209619.0
703921.4
Blue38
19437.3
595127.4
67417.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52462030406070806038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
20.220.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End1.1
blue by 5.9
27.40.3
27.126.8
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
Second
2096
#15
19.00.3
18.518.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
red by 11.6
1943
#25
7.30.4
7.77.4
Auto5.8
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Third
10.00.3
7.67.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 2.9
6741
#27
7.20.4
7.57.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed