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Red58
598711.2
610411.1
595127.4
Blue25
307523.4
711210.6
59284.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553801001505825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.3
23.323.0
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
red by 4.0
23.41.5
16.114.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
5987
#11
11.20.5
15.414.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 0.6
7112
#18
10.61.5
9.98.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Third
6104
#13
11.10.5
8.88.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 6.3
5928
#28
4.81.5
10.48.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed