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Red61
82237.7
561423.3
307523.4
Blue57
595127.4
165726.1
59284.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57662040801001201406157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
22.822.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 4.0
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End0.5
Second
23.30.0
22.722.6
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 2.8
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.9
End1.3
Third
8223
#24
7.70.0
7.27.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 2.9
5928
#28
4.80.0
4.84.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End0.3