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Red72
82237.7
561423.3
307523.4
Blue54
610411.1
193720.3
56359.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5741020801007254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
21.822.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 3.1
20.30.2
19.519.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
23.30.2
21.621.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 12.2
6104
#13
11.10.2
10.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
8223
#24
7.70.2
6.26.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 2.1
5635
#20
9.80.2
9.19.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4