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Red23
459014.1
555418.6
44165.6
Blue44
610411.1
193720.3
56359.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442030405060702344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#10
18.60.6
19.218.6
Auto9.1
Teleop8.5
End0.9
blue by 1.7
20.30.0
19.819.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
4590
#22
14.10.7
14.814.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5
red by 3.1
6104
#13
11.10.0
10.710.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
4416
#23
5.60.6
6.25.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 4.1
5635
#20
9.80.0
9.39.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4