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Red106
333941.2
169047.8
44165.3
Blue63
306522.3
157428.2
717711.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106220408010012014016010663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.0
47.747.8
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 19.6
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Second
41.20.0
41.141.2
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 18.9
3065
#10
22.30.0
22.222.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Third
4416
#20
5.30.0
5.35.3
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
blue by 6.4
7177
#21
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6