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Red30
93035.4
26798.7
51356.7
Blue33
15769.6
44165.3
306522.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263602060803033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#17
8.70.3
9.18.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 13.5
3065
#10
22.30.1
19.119.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
Second
5135
#28
6.70.3
8.48.1
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1576
#14
9.60.1
5.96.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Third
9303
#26
5.40.3
7.06.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Level
4416
#20
5.30.1
6.56.6
Auto5.1
Teleop0.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed