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Red46
306522.3
157428.2
529115.0
Blue104
598719.3
157718.7
333941.2
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6580204010012014046104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.0
25.724.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
blue by 13.0
41.22.2
37.940.1
Auto17.5
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Second
3065
#10
22.31.0
19.018.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 3.0
19.32.2
13.816.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Third
5291
#19
15.01.6
16.014.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 3.6
1577
#23
18.72.2
18.620.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned