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Red96
565422.3
331618.7
169047.8
Blue22
784522.0
717711.7
93035.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99290204060801201401609622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.3
45.345.6
Auto20.1
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 25.7
7845
#16
22.00.8
18.517.7
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Second
5654
#11
22.30.3
20.620.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.9
End3.6
red by 10.7
7177
#21
11.70.8
10.29.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Third
3316
#25
18.70.3
15.315.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 13.4
9303
#26
5.40.8
5.95.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed