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Red61
26798.7
673820.9
529115.0
Blue37
974017.7
598719.3
81758.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413601001502006137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#13
20.91.5
18.520.0
Auto10.7
Teleop9.6
End0.6
red by 1.6
19.30.1
11.211.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Second
5291
#19
15.02.5
11.313.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 2.6
17.70.1
12.412.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Third
2679
#17
8.71.5
6.88.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.1
red by 0.2
8175
#27
8.50.1
9.39.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed