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Red35
717711.7
15807.7
331618.7
Blue64
433815.7
529115.0
157428.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30510204060801003564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#25
18.70.3
12.412.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 9.5
28.21.0
22.323.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Second
7177
#21
11.70.3
7.67.9
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 4.0
4338
#18
15.71.0
7.98.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
1580
#29
7.70.3
10.010.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 7.3
5291
#19
15.01.7
13.815.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed