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Red81
717711.7
157428.2
306522.3
Blue78
529115.0
598719.3
383521.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695802040801001201408178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.4
27.928.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 6.7
21.50.4
20.721.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Second
3065
#10
22.30.4
22.022.4
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 3.0
19.30.4
18.518.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Third
7177
#21
11.70.4
11.411.8
Auto6.6
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 3.4
5291
#19
15.00.4
14.314.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End0.5