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Red72
223140.5
973914.0
307524.2
Blue82
555425.0
193727.0
592811.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9166204060801001201407282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.2
40.640.5
Auto17.3
Teleop18.5
End4.7
red by 13.5
27.00.2
26.827.0
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Second
24.20.2
24.424.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 0.8
25.00.2
24.825.0
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Third
9739
#22
14.00.2
14.214.0
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 2.8
5928
#24
11.20.2
11.011.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1