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Red84
561425.4
223140.5
194310.4
Blue56
19542.9
973816.4
555425.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7536020601001201408456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.4
33.935.3
Auto17.3
Teleop18.5
End4.7
red by 15.5
25.00.6
19.720.2
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Second
5614
#12
25.41.4
20.722.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 8.9
16.40.6
12.713.3
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
1943
#25
10.41.4
8.59.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End0.2
red by 7.5
1954
#31
2.90.6
4.75.3
Auto1.0
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned