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Red89
263022.6
561425.4
703923.3
Blue63
46618.9
165727.3
209624.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735702040801001201408963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#12
25.41.7
22.123.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
blue by 1.9
1657
#13
27.30.7
25.826.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
7039
#15
23.31.7
20.922.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
blue by 0.6
24.00.7
20.521.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
2630
#18
22.61.7
21.222.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End0.1
red by 13.8
4661
#32
8.90.7
6.97.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed