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Red80
973914.0
321122.6
973816.4
Blue34
19542.9
599023.2
45869.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53310204060801001208034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.3
17.117.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 0.6
23.20.2
19.719.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Second
16.40.3
14.214.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 7.1
4586
#29
9.30.2
6.87.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
9739
#22
14.00.3
13.914.2
Auto8.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 11.1
1954
#31
2.90.2
4.34.6
Auto1.0
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed