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Red77
223015.5
165727.3
82236.7
Blue66
703923.3
46618.9
616821.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48592040801007766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#13
27.30.8
26.527.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 3.9
7039
#15
23.30.8
22.623.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End1.4
Second
2230
#26
15.50.8
11.912.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 6.5
6168
#14
21.90.8
21.722.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
8223
#28
6.70.8
6.77.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 2.1
4661
#32
8.90.8
7.68.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed