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Red43
194225.8
930410.0
610414.5
Blue73
599023.2
592811.2
529115.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801001201404373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#19
25.80.7
27.126.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 2.6
23.20.1
22.923.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Second
6104
#27
14.50.7
16.115.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 1.2
5291
#16
15.80.1
14.915.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
Third
9304
#23
10.00.7
10.09.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 1.3
5928
#24
11.20.1
9.19.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned