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Red77
555425.0
22128.9
82236.7
Blue37
529115.8
43197.1
338815.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37372030405060707737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.7
18.118.9
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 9.2
3388
#17
15.80.4
11.812.1
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Second
2212
#21
8.90.7
10.110.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 6.8
5291
#16
15.80.4
13.213.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.8
Third
8223
#28
6.70.7
7.78.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 0.3
4319
#30
7.10.4
6.67.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed