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Red81
616821.9
209624.0
194225.8
Blue94
321122.6
193727.0
561425.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7677607080901008194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#19
25.80.6
24.625.3
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End1.8
blue by 1.2
27.01.3
24.025.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Second
24.00.6
23.724.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 1.4
5614
#12
25.41.3
24.425.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Third
6168
#14
21.90.6
21.121.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 0.7
22.61.3
20.822.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed